English football

Cambridge – Swindon

EFL Cup

A random cup really and one where the value is almost never on the favourites. Clubs often still rotate in this competition for some reason, eventhough their players have only played 90 minutes of competitive football in the last few months. Cambridge are now a Lesgue One side, whereas Swindon are now League Two. Last season these positions were switched, so I don’t feel there is a huge gap between these two sides. Odds have drifted slightly on a Cambridge win, which is something i agree with. Cambridge’s promotion last season was largely down to the goals scored by Paul Mullin. Mullin scored 32 goals from his 46 appearances so hard to not get promoted when you have that in your side. Weirdly, he has now dropped down a division and plays for National League side Wrexham. I guess Ryan Reynolds will pay him a decent amount of money for dropping down. God only knows how many goals he’ll score for Wrexham this season. Anyway, without Mullin, Cambridge could struggle in League One. Their first match was a 1-1 home draw against Oxford, which came about thanks to a late equalizing penalty. Swindon started well with a 3-1 win over Scunthorpe. There is definitely a potential “upset” here and these two sides are probably closer than the odds suggest.

Pick: Swindon (+1AH)

Odds: 1.70 @   bet365